Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000151 0.000167 0.000184 0.000204 0.000226 0.000251 0.000279
2025-06-01 0.000119 0.000141 0.000167 0.000200 0.000240 0.000288 0.000349
2025-06-08 0.000097 0.000122 0.000152 0.000193 0.000246 0.000313 0.000407
2025-06-15 0.000087 0.000113 0.000147 0.000195 0.000261 0.000351 0.000483
2025-06-22 0.000079 0.000107 0.000144 0.000199 0.000278 0.000391 0.000568
2025-06-29 0.000070 0.000098 0.000136 0.000195 0.000283 0.000414 0.000628
2025-07-06 0.000062 0.000089 0.000127 0.000186 0.000280 0.000423 0.000669
2025-07-13 0.000058 0.000084 0.000124 0.000187 0.000290 0.000455 0.000749
2025-07-20 0.000054 0.000081 0.000122 0.000190 0.000303 0.000492 0.000843
2025-07-27 0.000050 0.000077 0.000118 0.000188 0.000309 0.000518 0.000921
2025-08-03 0.000048 0.000074 0.000117 0.000191 0.000323 0.000558 0.001030
2025-08-10 0.000044 0.000071 0.000113 0.000189 0.000327 0.000580 0.001108
2025-08-17 0.000041 0.000067 0.000109 0.000186 0.000332 0.000607 0.001203
2025-08-24 0.000038 0.000063 0.000105 0.000184 0.000336 0.000633 0.001303
2025-08-31 0.000035 0.000059 0.000099 0.000177 0.000332 0.000644 0.001371
2025-09-07 0.000033 0.000057 0.000098 0.000180 0.000346 0.000691 0.001528
2025-09-14 0.000032 0.000056 0.000098 0.000183 0.000362 0.000746 0.001717
2025-09-21 0.000030 0.000053 0.000094 0.000179 0.000362 0.000767 0.001824
2025-09-28 0.000028 0.000049 0.000089 0.000172 0.000354 0.000765 0.001875
2025-10-05 0.000026 0.000047 0.000087 0.000172 0.000363 0.000808 0.002050
2025-10-12 0.000025 0.000046 0.000087 0.000175 0.000377 0.000862 0.002270
2025-10-19 0.000024 0.000045 0.000085 0.000173 0.000382 0.000896 0.002438
2025-10-26 0.000023 0.000044 0.000084 0.000176 0.000397 0.000956 0.002698